Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Sunday 'Nati Analysis

Roger Federer d. James Blake 6-1, 6-4
I foolish thought Blake had a chance in this one (at least to make it close, it wasn't like I was picking him to win the match), but that was clearly not the case. Federer's game picked up considerably from where it had been throughout the tournament and Blake's fell off a long way from where it was against Ferrero and Davydenko (and the last two sets against Querrey); of course Federer had a little bit to do with that. In any case, it was a terrible match and there's really nothing else to say about it. Federer is just a lot better than Blake. Period.

As for what this means about each player's prospects at the U.S. Open: well Federer always has been the favorite, and now his critics who think Djokovic has the edge at the Open should probably rethink themselves. I'm not guaranteeing a Federer victory like we all did in the past, but as long as he plays close to his best he will beat Djokovic or anyone else.

Blake has never made it past the quarterfinals of a major. As long as his forehand is on fire like it was against Davydenko, he should make it back to that stage, but no further.


Anonymous said...

I do not have much time for long explanation but I think you will remember my words in a couple of weeks. Djoko will be US OPEN Champion.

Anonymous said...

I'm amazed you'd rank Nadal below Roddick in the US Open countdown.